坝基软弱结构面工程特性的动态研究方法与应用     

朱雷  王小群  聂德新  黄润秋 《工程地质学报》2015,23(1):52-58

水电工程具有规模大、施工快、地质缺陷不易揭露等特点,特别是对于水电工程的安全运营至关重要的深层抗滑稳定性问题.基于上述原因,本文以金沙江观音岩水电站为例,借助坝基开挖,总结出工程地质条件软弱结构面展布特征动态评价软弱结构面参数动态取值坝基稳定性评价这一套坝基软弱结构面动态评价方法,并以软弱结构面展布特征与参数动态研究为核心,建立起合理的坝基深层抗滑稳定性评价方法.实践表明,该套方法能合理地评价重力坝抗滑稳定性问题,保证水电工程的安全运营.  相似文献   

基于ERSM涡轮盘径向变形的非线性动态概率分析     

王桂华  费成巍  白广忱 《贵州气象》2013,(4):529-536

为了准确设计高压涡轮盘和叶尖间隙,从概率的角度进行了涡轮盘径向变形的分析。介绍了高精度高效率的非线性动态概率分析的极值响应面方法(Extremum Response Surface Method, ERSM),并建立了其数学模型。考虑材料属性和边界条件的非线性,以及热载荷和离心载荷的动态性,基于ERSM对涡轮盘径向变形进行了非线性动态概率分析,得到了输入输出参数的分布特征和影响涡轮盘径向动态变形的主要因素。最后,通过方法比较,验证了ERSM在保证计算精度的前提下能大大提高计算速度,节约计算时间,改善计算效率。为进行更有效的涡轮盘设计和优化,改善叶尖间隙设计和控制的合理性提供了有效依据。   相似文献   

Evaluating the Tree Population Density and Its Impacts in CLM-DGVM     

SONG Xiang  ZENG Xiaodong  ZHU Jiawen 《大气科学进展》2013,30(1):116-124

Vegetation population dynamics play an essential role in shaping the structure and function of terrestrial ecosystems.However,large uncertainties remain in the parameterizations of population dynamics in current Dynamic Global Vegetation Models(DGVMs).In this study,the global distribution and probability density functions of tree population densities in the revised Community Land Model-Dynamic Global Vegetation Model(CLM-DGVM) were evaluated,and the impacts of population densities on ecosystem characteristics were investigated.The results showed that the model predicted unrealistically high population density with small individual size of tree PFTs(Plant Functional Types) in boreal forests,as well as peripheral areas of tropical and temperate forests.Such biases then led to the underestimation of forest carbon storage and incorrect carbon allocation among plant leaves,stems and root pools,and hence predicted shorter time scales for the building/recovering of mature forests.These results imply that further improvements in the parameterizations of population dynamics in the model are needed in order for the model to correctly represent the response of ecosystems to climate change.  相似文献   

Earth System Model FGOALS-s2: Coupling a dynamic global vegetation and terrestrial carbon model with the physical climate system model     

王军  包庆  刘屹岷  吴国雄  纪多颖 《大气科学进展》2013,30(6):1549-1559

Earth System Models （ESMs） are fundamental tools for understanding climate-carbon feedback. An ESM version of the Flexible Global Ocean-Atmosphere-Land System model （FGOALS） was recently developed within the IPCC AR5 Coupled Model Intercomparison Project Phase 5 （CMIP5） modeling framework, and we describe the development of this model through the coupling of a dynamic global vegetation and terrestrial carbon model with FGOALS-s2. The performance of the coupled model is evaluated as follows. The simulated global total terrestrial gross primary production （GPP） is 124.4 PgC yr-I and net pri- mary production （NPP） is 50.9 PgC yr-1. The entire terrestrial carbon pools contain about 2009.9 PgC, comprising 628.2 PgC and 1381.6 PgC in vegetation and soil pools, respectively. Spatially, in the tropics, the seasonal cycle of NPP and net ecosystem production （NEP） exhibits a dipole mode across the equator due to migration of the monsoon rainbelt, while the seasonal cycle is not so significant in Leaf Area Index （LAI）. In the subtropics, especially in the East Asian monsoon region, the seasonal cycle is obvious due to changes in temperature and precipitation from boreal winter to summer. Vegetation productivity in the northern mid-high latitudes is too low, possibly due to low soil moisture there. On the interannual timescale, the terrestrial ecosystem shows a strong response to ENSO. The model- simulated Nifio3.4 index and total terrestrial NEP are both characterized by a broad spectral peak in the range of 2-7 years. Further analysis indicates their correlation coefficient reaches -0.7 when NEP lags the Nifio3.4 index for about 1-2 months.  相似文献   

土层随机地震反应的动力可靠度计算     

门玉明  黄义 《地球科学与环境学报》2002,24(1):43-45

研究了土层的随机地震反应分析方法 ,建立了基岩输入地震动加速度功率谱函数为白噪声和过滤白噪声时土层的动力可靠度计算理论  相似文献   

基于BP模型的渔业资源可持续利用综合动态评价     

陈新军  周应祺 《广东海洋大学学报》2002,22(6):38-44

在对传统可持续发展评价方法进行评述的基础上 ,利用神经网络具有自组织、自学习、自适应以及非线性等功能 ,提出了以BP模型为基础包括经济、社会和资源环境三个方面的渔业资源可持续利用综合动态评价方法 ,该方法克服了传统上单纯从生物方面进行资源评价的缺陷。并以东海区 1978～ 1990年的渔业资源可持续利用状况为例进行了实证分析 ,建立以BP模型为基础的东海区渔业资源可持续利用的综合动态评价模型。  相似文献   

秦皇岛市青龙县城工程场地动力特征及分区评价     

张骏  杜东菊  卢玉东  汪光辉 《地球科学与环境学报》1994,(3)

工程场地动力分区评价（即地震影响小区划），是在工程场地地震危险性分析的基础上，根据场地岩土动力特征及地形地貌、地质构造条件等对地震动影响的反应程度，从而对不同类型场地的地震效应作出评价．其成果可做为建筑抗震设计、工程加固、震害预测与对策的制定及土地合理利用和总体规划布局的依据．本文以秦皇岛市青龙县城工程场地为例，进行了工程场地动力特征研究与分区评价及震害预测（即工程场地地震影响小区划）。  相似文献   

贺兰山群变质杂岩中的变余动力变质岩     

胡能高  杨家喜  王涛 《地球科学与环境学报》1993,(4)

贺兰山群变质杂岩形成于晚太古代,遭受过多期变质和变形的改造,其中发育了不同期次和层次的动力变质岩。变余韧性剪切带内发育了条带状片麻岩和变粒岩,相伴有变余鞘褶皱和构造透镜体,变余韧性剪切带的变形发生在较低的温度、压力条件下,地壳加厚作用的初期。变余糜棱岩貌似条带状片麻岩,但在青石中保留了早期石英拔丝构造和加粗的动态重结晶长石集合体。糜棱岩化作用的温度在550℃以上,变形后沿面理形成了饼状或椭圆状青石,变晶时温度近600℃,压力近300MPa。  相似文献   

    

Peng Yongqing  Zhu Yufeng  Yan Shaojin 《大气科学进展》1994,11(3):277-284

This paper concerns the reconstruction of a dynamic system based on phase space continuation of monthly mean temperature 1D time series and the assumption that the equation for the time-varying evolution of phase-space state variables contains linear and nonlinear quadratic terms, followed by the fitting of the dataset subjected to continuation so as to get, by the least square method, the coefficients of the terms, of which those of greater variance contribution are retained for use. Results show that the obtained low-order system may be used to describe nonlinear properties of the short range climate variation shown by monthly mean temperature series.  相似文献   

An aspect of indivisible land development with a reservation level of revenue     

A. A.?BatabyalEmail author  S. J.?Yoo 《Stochastic Environmental Research and Risk Assessment (SERRA)》2004,18(3):216-218

Recently, Batabyal and Yoo (2003) have studied aspects of indivisible and divisible land development in a dynamic and stochastic framework. In this note, we complement the analysis in this paper by examining an aspect of the indivisible land development decision when a landowner has an exogenously given reservation level of revenue. In particular, we show that the magnitude of the first record (largest offer) that exceeds the landowners reservation revenue is independent of the time at which this record is received by the landowner.  相似文献